The Chicago White Sox enter 2025 with nowhere to go but up. They finished the 2024 campaign with a 41-121 record, one of the worst in modern baseball history.
The White Sox are rebuilding in 2025. While they haven’t added enough pieces to turn around from a 41-win team to a playoff contender (and could trade Luis Robert Jr.), Chicago should win more games this summer.
The Chicago White Sox projected win total for 2025
Bradford Doolittle of ESPN revealed win projection totals for each MLB team. Doolittle thinks the White Sox will win approximately 13 more games than last season. He has Chicago’s win average around 54.2 games and gives the Sox a 0% chance of making the playoffs or winning a World Series.
“The White Sox will lose fewer games, so by that low bar, the season is sure to be a success,” Doolittle wrote. “Chicago is nowhere near turning this thing back in the right direction. In fact, they aren’t finished offloading veterans, with Luis Robert Jr. a near certainty to go at the very least. No team should (or even could) be as bad as the White Sox were last season.
“But once you’re there, you might as well stay the course because no amount of Jerry Reinsdorf’s money would turn this thing around quickly. Think of it like this: The biggest year-over-year improvement during the expansion era (since 1961) was Arizona’s leap from an expansion year 65 wins to 100 the season after. If the White Sox matched that improvement, they’d still go 76-86.”
No reason for optimism
Doolittle thinks the White Sox will finish with the league’s worst record in 2025. Frankly, there’s no reason for the fab base to feel more optimistic than the national media.
Chicago is for a painful next couple of seasons until their farm system matures and they add some elite pieces to a pitching staff that traded away Dylan Cease in 2024.
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